#historical-sociology (1 article)

Why DNS Escaped State-Centric Governance but Digital Identity Has Not: A Historical Sociology of Trust Roots

The present analysis formalizes DNS non-state governance as four conjunctive preconditions P_DNS = {P1 Postel-jar academic community, P2' U.S. strategic withdrawal, P3' technical-neutrality discourse as deliberate construction, P4' Stewardship Transition as a political product barely cleared through multiple veto points}. The Historical Mismatch hypothesis (HM) shows that all four preconditions fail to hold in the digital identity domain P_ID as of 2025. HM shares a conjunctive-necessary-condition structure with the H1' three-wall argument of article 03, the T three-element argument of article 04, the IT' impossibility triangle of article 05, the CB-Justice D1*∧D2* of article 06, and the SRP of article 07, though operating at the level of historically contingent necessary conditions for governance. Comparison of four cross-national governance models shows that the IATA + ICAO and SWIFT + CPMI dual-track models yield the highest fit; ICANN is not the template—the four-layer governance framework FTLA = (G_industry, G_state, G_recognition, G_oversight) is. Within specific sub-domains (PSE / Vocdoni / Rarimo / DIF) a loose autonomy position within the G_industry layer may be preserved, but boundary conditions B2–B4 all fail, precluding expansion into full-scale replication of the DNS model.